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Mensaje sin leerpor liny195 » 01 Jun 2019 01:44

OverviewOn December 16 , 2018 the Indianapolis Colts will host the Dallas Cowboys. In this week fifteen match-up I sought to understand our opponent and get a better idea of how they may attack our Colts. Let’s figure out what we can expect in week fifteen. DefenseRod Marinelli’s defense looks a lot like Matt Eberflus’ defense because Eberflus learned under Marinelli from 2011 to 2017. When I turned on the tape of these Cowboys it looked very similar to what I see every Sunday from our Colts, just with a lot more talent. I found a short but solid breakdown of the basics of Marinelli’s defense over on Gang Green Nation from John B. back in 2015. From the article:On defenses like the 2002 Buccaneers, it didn’t matter whether the offense knew this was the what the defense was running. Success was based upon execution.Marinelli does not stick strictly with the Tampa 2. The true Tampa 2 has gone out of style in the NFL as the offenses have adapted and adjusted.If this isn’t sounding and looking familiar to you by now, I assume you either haven’t watched a Colts game all year or you nap anytime Andrew Luck isn’t on the field. On to gap assignments:The author goes on to explain that the Cowboys value speed over size and reiterated their desire to limit the big play. Like I said, if you’ve paid attention to the Colts on defense this year, you should know exactly what to expect schematically. The system is built on speed and execution and it’s designed to prevent big plays. The Cowboys don’t blitz a lot, but they really don’t need to given the players that will line up in front of our vaunted offensive line. Next we’ll take a look at the talent they have at all three levels of the defense. Defensive Line The Colts have racked up 35 sacks this year, which is tied for 12th in the league. The team they’re tied with; the Dallas Cowboys. Demarcus Lawrence leads the team with 9.5 sacks on the year. Tyrone Crawford is next with 5.5 and Randy Gregory has 4 of his own. To go along with their slightly better than middle of the road sack totals, the Cowboys have an elite rush defense giving up the third fewest yards on the ground, allowing a paltry 3.5 yards per carry — the lowest in the league.With that said, there are exploitable aspects of this defenseDue to the nature of the Cowboys attacking, one gap scheme, at times defensive linemen will get up field and unless they feel the pulling guard coming and squeeze down to counter his block, this is what happens. To be fair, this play is the exception to what the Cowboys have put on tape this season, but it is an area I hope Frank Reich will look to exploit. Randy Gregory hasn’t been exceptional this season but every now and then he does something special:Watch Gregory on the right side of the line. He’s lined up against Jason Peters he gets up field and Peters probably believed he had run Gregory past the play, instead Gregory bends around the edge and cuts back toward Carson Wentz bringing him down for the sack. There aren’t a ton of guys with the physical ability to bend, put a foot in the ground and make that sack. It was a great play. This reminds me of something Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis would have done in 2005.Both Lawrence and Gregory are great athletes and could present real issues for Anthony Castonzo and Braden Smith. Having a guy like Jack Doyle would have been huge helping on the outside. On the inside Maliek Collins and Tyrone Crawford will do their best to limit Marlon Mack. With Ryan Kelly back in action this week, that may prove to be a tall task. It should be a fun matchup to watch this week. LinebackersThe Cowboys have maybe the most exciting core of young linebackers in the league. Jaylon Smith and Leighton Vander Esch are what make it so exciting for Cowboys fans. It doesn’t really matter who the third linebacker is, those two guys look like great building blocks for this defense for years to come. One thing to note about them is the way that the Eagles tight ends were able to produce despite the talent at linebacker. This play was made possible due to the fact that the linebacker covering him had no idea the ball was even in the air. Rumor has it Dallas Goedert was almost a Cowboy before the Eagles traded up, one spot in front of the Cowboys and drafted the tight end. Here he came up with a grab after winning his route. Eric Ebron is another Colt to watch this week, if he can separate he could have another nice day.A lot in the national media are claiming that Vander Esch deserves to win defensive rookie of the year over guys like Derwin James and our own Darius Leonard. I’m not in that camp but one thing Vander Esch does better than Leonard is shown above. Vander Esch does a good job taking on blocks and making stops and frankly Leonard’s slight frame has limited his effectiveness when taking on blocks inside. With that said, Leonard has had the bigger impact on his team but Vander Esch is also a special player. Vander Esch is pretty good in the open field too. That’s Alvin Kamara. He can outrun a lot of linebackers and he can make most of them miss. Here Vander Esch makes a tough open field tackle against an electric playmaker and it’s not a fluke. When you look at these linebackers and the defensive line, it’s not hard to figure out why they’re playing so well. While they’ve given up big games to talented tight ends, I wouldn’t trust that such an athletic group would continue to struggle. I’ve made it this far and I haven’t even mentioned Sean Lee, mostly because he’s been hurt most of this year (and most years in recent memory). When healthy Lee is an amazing linebacker in his own right. I’m not sure all three men could effectively play together at the same time , but the talent that exists in the Dallas Cowboys linebacker room is ridiculous.Defensive BacksWell if you were looking for some weakness, some smoking gun the Colts could exploit and you got all the way down to the defensive backs and instead of giving you good news, I have nothing but bad news for you. Byron Jones, Chidobe Awuzie and Anthony Brown will get the lions share of snaps at corner and Jourdan Lewis may get some burn as well. Jeff Heath and Xaiver Woods will play safety. Awuzie, has struggled in coverage this season but in the past few weeks something seems to have changed and he’s playing at a much higher level. Jones has turned into a top 10 corner. Heath and Woods aren’t amazing but they’ve played pretty well all things considered and really Woods has played very well. If there was a weak spot in this defense it would be Jeff Heath, that said we’ve seen worse defensive back groups this year by a wide margin.This is the type of play we’re going to need to run if the Colts hope to have consistent success through the air. Here Ertz finds a hole in the zone and sits in it. Vander Esch takes a false step in the wrong direction and Carson Wentz finds the open man. This is a great example of how the Cowboys (and Colts) look to prevent big plays. This defense looks exactly like what the Colts have done many times this year. The Colts aren’t a good run after catch team, which is a problem, especially when your opponent is great at limiting RAC already. Andrew Luck can lead multiple 80+ yard drives with 10-14 plays per drive, but it means he’ll have to be perfect if the Colts want to win. Hopefully TY Hilton can get over the top and create some explosive plays. I found this play by Awuzie that shows his ability. This is a pick play and instead of trying to work around the block, Awuzie closes the gap between him and the man he was covering which put him in great position to make a play. Awuzie hasn’t been out of this world but he has the physical ability to play very well at times. This group of DB’s isn’t as good as the Cowboys group of linebackers but it is very good and this group has played very well in the past few weeks. Hopefully, they have a rough day against our Colts and T.Y. Hilton is good to go.Final Thoughts:Our Colts have played very well over the second half of the season, sans the Jacksonville game. The Cowboys have played very well over the second half of the season, only they haven’t had their “Jacksonville game” yet. Here’s to hoping our Colts will put together a dominating performance, but it could end up being a very close game. The Colts face yet another tough and critical home game as they fight to drag themselves back into contention. They’ll host the Titans on Sunday in a game that will have implications deep into the season. Andrew Luck has never lost to the Titans, and he certainly won’t be interested in starting now. Given the significance of this game, let’s take a look at some of the big matchups that will help decide Sunday’s game.Offensive line vs Jurrell Casey Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY SportsJurrell Casey is among the top defensive linemen in the NFL. He is not a statistical monster, but he is still a disruptive force against the run and pass, and easily the Titans’ best defensive player. This season he has 3.5 sacks, 2 forced fumbles, and 7 tackles for a loss. When the Colts sat down to begin formulating their protection plan for the week, you can bet Casey was at the very top of their list of guys to deal with. The Colts offensive line is doing an incredible job protecting Andrew Luck, having kept him upright for 4 weeks running. They will have to come ready to go yet again against a creative and tough Titans defense. The Titans have a solid defense all around, but if Andrew Luck is given time to throw, the Colts are going to score points. The offensive line winning the battle up front will likely tell the story of this game and if Jurrell Casey is able to be a big factor, it will spell trouble for the Colts. Eric Ebron vs Titans’ SecondaryBrian Spurlock-USA TODAY SportsThe Titans enter this game having given up precisely 0 touchdowns to a tight end. That sounds pretty stunning if you don’t look through their schedule, but becomes a bit less shocking when you see the list of tight ends they have faced. Zach Ertz is by and large the only really talented player they have faced at the tight end position , and he gashed them for 110 yards, but no touchdowns. By comparison, Eric Ebron will step onto the field on Sunday with 10 touchdowns on the season and a habit of embarrassing defenses. I broke down every touchdown he has on the season here, and his ability to end up all alone is almost as impressive as his ability to go up and get a jump ball. I am not going to say that Eric Ebron is definitely going to end that streak of no touchdowns by tight ends, but I am going to say that one of the tight ends on this team will. The Colts have used their tight ends too well, and are simply too talented at that position to be shut out. Kevin Byard will be a tough challenge for Ebron, but he made a talent like Jalen Ramsey look silly, and hasn’t exactly been up against scrubs all season. I don’t anticipate this game going all that differently in terms of the impact the tight end position will have for the Colts. Darius Leonard vs Dion LewisMatthew Emmons-USA TODAY SportsThe Titans have two solid running backs in Dion Lewis and Derrick Henry. Henry certainly has his strengths, but he is not the player that worries me with this Colts team. Dion Lewis has been a major weapon for the Titans over the last 3 games. He is averaging over 100 yards from scrimmage, much of it coming from the passing game. If Lewis can keep his momentum going this week and be an active part of the passing game, it is going to be tough on a Colts defense that couldn’t get a stop against a Jaguars team that killed them with short passes that went for long gains.To make sure that doesn’t happen, they’ll need a big performance from rookie linebacker Darius Leonard. Leonard is their most valuable playmaker on the defensive side of the ball, and has regularly made the plays they need in a pinch. He will need to be on his game because with Lewis catching passes and Mariota utilizing his mobility, this is a team that could present trouble for the Colts’ defense that has had trouble stopping just about everyone. If Leonard can create a turnover that may be all the offense needs to pull out a win.Frank Reich vs Mike VrabelMatthew Emmons-USA TODAY SportsIt is the showdown of two first time head coaches who will face each other twice each year. Both Frank Reich and Mike Vrabel have been lauded for the jobs they have done getting their respective teams ready to play. It would be pretty tough to argue that Vrabel hasn’t simply coached his team around the slew of injuries they have been dealt. Given all they have lost this season, having them still in contention is pretty impressive.Colts fans know the job Reich has done. While the numbers are still skewed against him in the win/loss column, that is turning quickly, and there are some very easy to measure changes that signal a very different team. For example, the fact that the Colts have been night and day different in terms of their ability to protect Andrew Luck. Additionally, they’ve converted on 52.4% of 3rd downs, and are averaging 28.9 points per game for the season. Reich has this offense humming. This will be a very interesting matchup to see which coach manages the game better, who has their team prepared the best, and who is able to use their talent most effectively. In an offensively driven league, my money is on the brilliant and experienced offensive mind.So what about you? What matchup will you be watching this weekend?
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